The market bounced as expected in what I am labeling a W4 and I think we will see a lower low after it completes. If we were to go by wave proportions, assuming today's high was the peak for W4 then we would have 1732 as a target for W5. So the market will need to extend its 5th wave or perhaps put in another W4 and reach the 1710 level. Also, I was looking at the Long Term chart I posted last night and using the same set of calculations I used when I first projected targets in May 2013. I see the ideal target LT W4 at 1680 as the end of the correction. However, I prefer 1600-40 if this turns out to be a double ZZ (confirmation if 200 DMA is lost) or 1700-20 if a simple ZZ. My prediction is SP 1950-2050 by the time P3 completes
Here are the originally projected targets vs actual levels
LT Int W3 Target 1650 - Actual 1687
LT Int W4 Target 1580 - Actual 1565
LT Int W5 Target 1790 - Actual 1850
We'll see if I am right on this in the next few weeks. If the market does find a bottom around that level, it will mean we will see a last multi-month rally before a much bigger correction.
Short Term Trend = Bearish
Medium Term Trend = Bearish
Long Term Trend = Bullish
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