The bearish wave I was looking for finally appeared today and it broke through the 1830-35 area I was looking at as support. However, since the wave is part of a double Zig Zag and a C wave, it still falls into a correction rather than the start of anything more meaningful. Also, this wave was about 1.6 of the A wave so technically there's nothing out of the ordinary. With that said, the Trend Average turned negative but I would only start entertaining bearish options if there is follow through selling that breaks the previous low of 1815 and specially if support at 1811-13 breaks. Fundamentally speaking, the reason for the bearish wave was the PMI in China which is usually weak this time of year so I think this was used more as an excuse to sell than anything else. If the Chinese stock market is of any indication, the SSEC fell less than half a percent after the PMI news (after rallying almost 2% the day before) and all loses were regained and some at the time of this post so obviously they don't care.
I ended up buying XIV near support today which just happened to coincide with the bottom and I sold at the end of 5 waves on the micro count. And If tomorrow there is a retrace of this initial bounce it will be a fairly easy long as all I need to do is put the stop a the low from today. I haven't had a losing trade (I'm 9/9) this year so far so I am hoping to keep it going until February :)
Short Term Trend = Bearish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish
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