Friday, December 28, 2012

Market Update

I am having problems login on to my chart software so I'll add the chart this weekend when the bug is fixed. But from what I can tell from checking the markets on my phone earlier today, key levels have been broken and the next stop is the 200 DMA at 1387 (need to double check that on the charts). So Monday will be an interesting day as we should finally know if a deal will be approved or not. Obama is "modestly optimistic" meaning he is not sure if what he is proposing will be pass in the house so we could wake up Monday (or after the vote) to a huge sell off or rally. In a way there is no point in even labeling the waves as we might as well flip a coin on this one.

I am glad I am out of the US market as there's a bit too much drama at the moment. The shares I sold yesterday actually went up today so I am staying 90% invested abroad. What will be interesting is how those markets will react if we get a nasty sell off in the US, maybe money will flow that way from here? who knows..

Have a Great Weekend!

Main S&P 500 Trends

Short Term Trend = Bearish
Medium Term Trend = Neutral
Long Term Trend = Bullish

Long Term Portfolio
  • 90% Long in Red Chips traded in HSI (Mainland China stocks traded in Hong Kong) since September 2012. Only position trading 30-40% of portfolio for cost improvement. - Sold 10% on 12/27/12

Short Term Margin Trading Strategy 
  • Bought 30 AAPL @ $509.50 as of 12/14/2012 on margin - Closed @514.50 on 12/17/2012. = +5.00
  • Bought 1000 XIV @18.62 as of 12/13/2012 on margin - Closed @18.70 on 12/14/2012. = +0.08
  • Bought 1000 XIV @18.80 as of 12/05/2012 on margin - Closed @18.88 on 12/07/2012. = +0.08
  • Bought 1000 XIV @18.41 as of 12/04/2012 on margin - Closed @18.63 on 12/05/2012. = +0.22
  • Bought 500 VXX @29.23 on 12/03/2012 - Closed @30.12 on 12/03/2012. = +0.89
  • Bought 500 VXX @30.77 on 11/23/2012 - Closed @29..68 on 11/27/2012. = -1.09
  • Bought 500 VXX @31.54 on 11/20/2012 - Stopped out @31.11 on 11/21/2012. = -0.43
  • Closed position 500 @ 18.26 on 11/20/2012. Sold 500 @ 17.79, raised stop to break even on the other 500 as of 11/19/2012. Bought 1000 XIV @15.98 as of 11/15/2012 on margin - position trade cost improvement 4 cents, so net cost $15.94 as of 11/16/2012 - Profit = $2.05 
  • Bought 1000 XIV @16.88 as of 11/14/2012 on margin - Stopped out @ 16.66 on 11/14/2012. = -0.22
  • Bought 1000 XIV @15.67 as of 11/08/2012 on margin - sold 1000 XIV @ 16.25 on 11/12/2012 = +0.58
  • Margin positions in Gold initiated 11/06/2012.
Net Profit since 11/08/2012 on open and closed short term positions = $2,625*
* Margin position is usually $15-20k
* Margin position in gold is $4k

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