Thursday, December 22, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 22






















Another exciting day in Wall Street! I guess traders are on vacation since the market is at the same level as 2 weeks ago. But a bigger move should come fairly soon and I am hoping it will be a break out to new highs. I added QQQ to my long position so I hope there will be a strong finish for the year, perhaps 2016 will have the highest close for the decade? The wave count is aligned for a major top in 2017 but could stretch all the way to 2018. Whatever the case, it is best to trade with extreme caution at these levels.

Also, I have the Trending Waves portfolio parameters in place and I just need to wire the funds to the broker to make the account live. Basically, it will be tracked against the S&P 500 including dividends and I will use long only SPY positions to trade in and out. At the time of dividend distribution, I will short to the hedge instead of selling so I can capture whatever the dividend that is being paid. The position will launch on January 1st and I will take into account what the market is doing to go long or in cash on that date.


Launch date: January 1st, 2017

Position size: $100,000 - Non leveraged account with the exception of dividend distribution window

Primary position: SPY

Strategy: Trend Average trading, Elliott wave count, and other chart patterns

Goal: To beat the SPY annual return including dividends


Very few professional money managers can beat the S&P 500,  with some studies suggesting only 1% of mutual fund managers can do that. So I will finally put my system to the test in the most transparent way that I can think of. Real money, real time results will show the validity of what I have been doing here for the last 6 years.

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish trend being challenged
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking


Wednesday, December 21, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 21






















The market continues to buy time with today's session and I think oscillators have reset enough for a new rally in the next few sessions. The door is still open to some more downside to test support but it looks like bears have gone vacation already. To me, the question is not whether or not prices will go up but how much.

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 20




















The market traded slightly higher today and could technically setting itself up for a rally tomorrow if today's lows holds. However, the possibility of testing support mentioned yesterday remains probable before the real rally takes place. I went 50% long (as in half of what I normally trade) in after-hours to make sure I don't miss any upside. I am also paying attention to gold as the bottom is near.

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking

Monday, December 19, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 19






















The market has continued its consolidation and there is a triangle in place that could result in another bearish leg to test the 2242-2248 support area. I was hoping to a lot more downside prior to a Santa Rally but this might not get much lower before the next leg of the rally starts. So if support is hit, I will be going long with a short stop. I also ended selling my oil position today for a decent profit and will buy again if I see a good set up.

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking

Friday, December 16, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 16






















Prices pulled back slightly today and the Trend Average has basically caught up with the market. So, we could see another leg of the rally develop early next week. There is a real possibility that 2,300 will be reached by the end of the year as long as the TA remains bullish. I will go long early next week if I see a good set up and I am keeping my oil longs in hope a W3 materializes.

Have a great weekend!

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking


Thursday, December 15, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 15






















Prices attempted to rally today but found resistance at 2272 before giving up some of its gains for the rest of the day. Ideally, the correction would continue and test the rising Trend Average. But as I said yesterday, bullish sentiment is strong and we might just see shallow pullbacks for the next couple of weeks. I was able to go short again near resistance and closed the position at the end of the day to pay for my coffee next month :)

I just bought back oil and looking to gold for possible longs in the next few sessions. Gold could be close to a  bottom after selling off 18% in 6 months.

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - December 14






















The market corrected had corrected as expected and today's pullback is the strongest one-day pullback since early November. Given how overbought the market is, there is plenty of room for further downside. However, since traders are still high on positive sentiment, we could see a rally back to the top as long as the Trend Average remains bullish. I ended closing my shorts for a nice profit and will again go short again if I see a favorable bearish pattern or long on a good risk/reward set up.

For further analysis on the NASDAQ, DJI, RUT, Gold, Silver and Oil please visit http://www.ewaveanalytics.com


Short Term Trend = Bullish
Medium Term Trend = Bullish
Long Term Trend = Bullish


* Trends are not trade signals. Trends are posted for situational awareness only and does not take into account wave counts, technical or fundamental conditions of the market. While mechanically trading the posted trends is feasible, keep in mind that these are lagging indicators and as such are prone to whipsaws and I personally do not use nor recommend them to initiate or close positions in the market without taking